“Even If The Whole Opposition Combines, They Can Never Defeat Museveni’s NRM” Top Ugandan Politician Assures

Political analyst and former intelligence chief Charles Rwomushana has raised serious concerns about the strength of Uganda’s opposition ahead of the 2026 elections. Speaking during an interview on NBS Television, Rwomushana said that even if all opposition groups in the country came together, they still would not be able to defeat President Yoweri Museveni and his ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM).

“Even if the whole opposition combined, they cannot cover all of Uganda’s polling stations,” Rwomushana said. “In fact, Museveni’s people will go unopposed in several areas.” He explained that the NRM has a strong network and better organisation, especially in rural areas where the opposition has limited presence.

His comments came after the recent signing of a cooperation agreement between the People’s Front for Freedom (PFF) and the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). While some people saw the agreement as a positive step toward unity, Rwomushana believes it won’t be enough to challenge the NRM’s power.

Rwomushana also spoke about who might lead the opposition in the 2026 presidential race. He said the new alliance may open the door for Gen. Mugisha Muntu, leader of ANT, to become the joint flag bearer of what many call the “Katonga group”—a loose alliance of politicians close to Dr. Kizza Besigye.

“There is an opening for Mr. Mugisha Muntu to be a flag bearer for the Katonga group,” Rwomushana noted.

He further pointed out that some opposition politicians are already making moves ahead of the elections. He said that Ibrahim Ssemujju Nganda has picked nomination forms to run again for the Kira Municipality seat. He also mentioned that Kampala Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago made a strong public appearance, using the Luganda phrase “omudoli mwali” to describe his notable presence.

Rwomushana’s analysis shows that despite recent efforts to unite, Uganda’s opposition still faces major challenges. With limited resources and poor coverage across the country, many are now questioning whether the opposition can truly compete against the well-organised and well-funded NRM in the 2026 elections.